Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 76.893438 86.290115 95.922033 106.502441 117.767959 129.375756 142.211411
2025-01-05 63.608293 77.228984 91.825687 108.507140 126.922941 146.520631 168.842118
2025-01-12 53.852300 69.566386 86.990822 107.489312 130.701335 155.948810 185.268457
2025-01-19 45.461067 62.343056 81.673768 105.020156 132.053091 162.009959 197.365181
2025-01-26 42.037056 60.437082 82.037315 108.643980 139.957848 175.123995 217.099975
2025-02-02 38.685055 58.225196 81.714634 111.182001 146.378822 186.377568 234.599202
2025-02-09 34.078630 54.016164 78.622470 110.105617 148.301294 192.246012 245.766813
2025-02-16 30.074975 50.221599 75.741155 109.017004 149.983706 197.655947 256.257627
2025-02-23 27.412662 47.968661 74.610365 109.918583 153.926847 205.623812 269.657605
2025-03-02 24.647020 45.334982 72.798877 109.805864 156.505568 211.878425 280.977237
2025-03-09 22.477139 43.354550 71.698821 110.474909 159.952854 219.106465 293.405876
2025-03-16 19.873366 40.518460 69.277290 109.292054 160.976326 223.323559 302.184297
2025-03-23 18.382074 39.259907 68.963997 110.859017 165.494617 231.863950 316.267449
2025-03-30 17.155621 38.310130 69.013784 112.865245 170.555286 241.077851 331.198524
2025-04-06 15.138291 35.913736 66.878317 111.830071 171.634889 245.328594 340.076885
2025-04-13 12.916642 32.949398 63.749050 109.298932 170.663418 246.947340 345.680350
2025-04-20 12.529216 33.090753 65.167577 113.011987 177.833946 258.734256 363.752438
2025-04-27 11.892368 32.731274 65.800435 115.611658 183.536524 268.689440 379.598007
2025-05-04 10.434822 30.735943 63.850575 114.509188 184.289442 272.374586 387.692012
2025-05-11 9.116546 28.846704 61.954169 113.394086 184.958197 275.905799 395.563194
2025-05-18 8.335064 27.918324 61.509172 114.317609 188.333220 282.866730 407.697131
2025-05-25 7.420880 26.610885 60.385140 114.202150 190.267496 287.964053 417.497779
2025-06-01 6.729880 25.689298 59.834508 114.887442 193.265900 294.416869 428.996725